SportsEdge
DashboardRankingsTeamsHistoryAccuracyAbout

Updated about 1 hour ago

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DashboardRankingsTeamsHistoryAccuracyAbout

Crunching the numbers…

SportsEdge Elo Model

Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. Not affiliated with any league.

Scoreboard Archive

Prediction History

Final scores vs our stored pre-game win probabilities. Only games we predicted before tip-off, then saw finalize.

Closeness is the pre-game probability we assigned to the eventual result (winner’s win%, or draw%). Higher means we put more weight on what actually happened. Miss-by is 1 − that %. We never invent retrospective picks for games synced already final.

Picks vs Outcomes

n = 11
MLB
Sep 20
BOS
BOS 1 – 5 TB
TB
Pred 64% TB / 36% BOSFav TB
Hit
Close 64%
MLB
Sep 20
CHC
CHC 9 – 1 CIN
CIN
Pred 40% CIN / 60% CHCFav CHC
Hit
Close 60%
MLB
Sep 20
PHI
PHI 7 – 2 NYM
NYM
Pred 57% NYM / 43% PHIFav NYM
Miss
Close 43%
NFL
Sep 20
CAR
CAR 34 – 3 ATL
ATL
Pred 61% ATL / 39% CARFav ATL
Miss
Close 39%
NFL
Sep 20
MIN
MIN 9 – 3 CHI
CHI
Pred 60% CHI / 40% MINFav CHI
Miss
Close 40%
NFL
Sep 20
PHI
PHI 24 – 20 TEN
TEN
Pred 52% TEN / 48% PHIFav TEN
Miss
Close 48%
NFL
Sep 20
PIT
PIT 3 – 20 NE
NE
Pred 54% NE / 46% PITFav NE
Hit
Close 54%
NFL
Sep 20
GB
GB 20 – 17 NYJ
NYJ
Pred 65% NYJ / 35% GBFav NYJ
Miss
Close 35%
NFL
Sep 20
NO
NO 24 – 17 BAL
BAL
Pred 63% BAL / 37% NOFav BAL
Miss
Close 37%
NFL
Sep 20
CIN
CIN 20 – 6 HOU
HOU
Pred 53% HOU / 47% CINFav HOU
Miss
Close 47%
NHL
Sep 20
NYI
NYI 1 – 2 NJ
NJ
Pred 63% NJ / 37% NYIFav NJ
Hit
Close 63%