Updated 2 minutes ago
Crunching the numbers…
Steelers
PIT
1491
Elo
VS
Sep 20, 2026
5:00 PM
3 – 20
Patriots
NE
1515
Pre-game edge
+55 Elo applied to NE (league default)
NE +24 vs PIT (raw, pre-HFA)
NE is favored at 54% win probability.