SportsEdge
DashboardRankingsTeamsHistoryAccuracyAbout

Updated 4 minutes ago

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DashboardRankingsTeamsHistoryAccuracyAbout

Crunching the numbers…

SportsEdge Elo Model

Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. Not affiliated with any league.

Scoreboard Archive

Prediction History

Final scores vs our stored pre-game win probabilities. Only games we predicted before tip-off, then saw finalize.

Closeness is the pre-game probability we assigned to the eventual result (winner’s win%, or draw%). Higher means we put more weight on what actually happened. Miss-by is 1 − that %. We never invent retrospective picks for games synced already final.

Picks vs Outcomes

n = 3
MLB
Sep 20
BOS
BOS 1 – 5 TB
TB
Pred 64% TB / 36% BOSFav TB
Hit
Close 64%
MLB
Sep 20
CHC
CHC 9 – 1 CIN
CIN
Pred 40% CIN / 60% CHCFav CHC
Hit
Close 60%
MLB
Sep 20
PHI
PHI 7 – 2 NYM
NYM
Pred 57% NYM / 43% PHIFav NYM
Miss
Close 43%