Dashboard Rankings Teams History Accuracy About

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Dashboard Rankings Teams History Accuracy About

Crunching the numbers…

SportsEdge Elo Model

Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. Not affiliated with any league.

Model Trust

Model Accuracy

Brier scores and calibration from completed games with stored pre-game predictions.

Brier Score

Mean squared error of predictions

0.206

Good

Lower is better. 0 is perfect; ~0.25 is coin-flip for a two-way market.

n = 3 games

Calibration

Predicted vs actual home win rate

Pred 40%Actual 0%

Pred 60%Actual 50%

Picks vs Outcomes

Full history →

Pred 64% TB / 36% BOSFav TB

CHC 9 – 1 CIN

Pred 40% CIN / 60% CHCFav CHC

PHI 7 – 2 NYM

Pred 57% NYM / 43% PHIFav NYM